Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.133589 1.347390 1.571263 1.821610 2.092280 2.374760 2.690544
2025-01-19 0.873709 1.179755 1.520529 1.921355 2.373834 2.863518 3.428518
2025-01-26 0.748693 1.106019 1.520684 2.024024 2.606763 3.250266 4.005334
2025-02-02 0.661412 1.060994 1.541950 2.141318 2.849405 3.643627 4.587418
2025-02-09 0.604360 1.041122 1.583172 2.273026 3.100827 4.040290 5.167135
2025-02-16 0.534135 0.993904 1.583118 2.348990 3.282086 4.352950 5.648675
2025-02-23 0.454814 0.923605 1.545882 2.372792 3.395918 4.583213 6.032125
2025-03-02 0.351578 0.805121 1.435697 2.297050 3.382794 4.659317 6.232558
2025-03-09 0.261337 0.691104 1.320858 2.206691 3.344737 4.700278 6.387093
2025-03-16 0.199802 0.611345 1.245434 2.161084 3.356886 4.796892 6.603156
2025-03-23 0.168296 0.577691 1.232587 2.196017 3.468474 5.012134 6.958710
2025-03-30 0.134773 0.533527 1.200198 2.201580 3.540522 5.177758 7.253997
2025-04-06 0.095511 0.470276 1.137443 2.167800 3.567564 5.296459 7.504461
2025-04-13 0.085382 0.468894 1.171995 2.271311 3.775054 5.640336 8.029615
2025-04-20 0.078428 0.473208 1.214775 2.385750 3.996240 6.000648 8.574096
2025-04-27 0.074049 0.483078 1.266517 2.513203 4.235038 6.383551 9.146912
2025-05-04 0.072385 0.499710 1.329500 2.657018 4.495781 6.794236 9.754018
2025-05-11 0.062835 0.492113 1.350636 2.739603 4.675016 7.103079 10.237531
2025-05-18 0.048031 0.463741 1.333967 2.765513 4.777750 7.315476 10.603200
2025-05-25 0.026378 0.398440 1.246665 2.683110 4.732315 7.339378 10.736885
2025-06-01 0.010866 0.333698 1.152273 2.584685 4.661248 7.327858 10.824567
2025-06-08 0.003730 0.290397 1.092448 2.534948 4.653422 7.393996 11.005157
2025-06-15 0.001641 0.276362 1.089384 2.573049 4.766644 7.615119 11.377697